A Model of Capital and Crises

نویسندگان

  • Zhiguo He
  • Arvind Krishnamurthy
  • Ravi Jagannathan
  • Haitao Li
چکیده

We develop a model in which the capital of the intermediary sector plays a critical role in determining asset prices. The model is cast within a dynamic general equilibrium economy, and the role for intermediation is derived endogenously based on optimal contracting considerations. Low intermediary capital reduces the risk-bearing capacity of the marginal investor. We show how this force helps to explain patterns during …nancial crises. The model replicates the observed rise during crises in Sharpe ratios, conditional volatility, correlation in price movements of assets held by the intermediary sector, and fall in riskless interest rates. JEL Codes: G12, G2, E44

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

How do Sudden Stops of Capital Flows Affect Currency Crises in Asia?

Sudden stops can be characterized by sharp reversals in capital inflows, large declines in output, and steep collapses in real asset prices (Mendoza and Smith, 2009). In almost all recent crises, capital account reversals amounting to more than 10% of an afflicted country’s GDP have occurred (Calvo and Reinhart, 1999 and Nabli, 1999). More specifically, reversals in capital flows to emergin...

متن کامل

Determinants of Bonanza Episodes and Related Effects on Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries

Although capital inflows affect positively economies in long-run, it is possible to generate somehow destructive effects if there is no any control on financial markets. This study tries to explore main determinants of large capital inflows episodes to emerging markets. It is also investigated whether the large capital inflows episodes lead to financial crises in forms of sudden stop phenomenon...

متن کامل

Modelliing of Earlly Warniing Indiicators of Currency Crisis: Emphasizing the Evaluation of the Relationship Between Currency Crisis and Capital Control Index

Predicting currency fluctuations and crises is an important step in the foreign exchange policy of countries. Given that the purpose of early warning systems or patterns is to anticipate crises, their use is essential to prevent economic crises, including currency crises. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to model and rank the early warning factors of currency crisis by Bayesian averaging...

متن کامل

Assessment the Resilience of the Healthcare Network in Accidents and Chemical Crises

Background and Aim: Healthcare networks in industrial areas are the main pillars of preventing and coping with chemical accidents and crises, which are of great importance in improving their level of resilience. In order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to apply a precise method for assessing and empowering these centers. The purpose of this study was to provide a resiliency pattern for th...

متن کامل

The Illusive Quest: Do International Capital Controls Contribute to Currency Stability?

Available online 23 July 2010 We investigate the effectiveness of capital controls in insulating economies from currency crises, focusing in particular on both direct and indirect effects of capital controls and how these relationships may have changed over time in response to global financial liberalization and the greater mobility of international capital. We predict the likelihood of currenc...

متن کامل

Banks , Capital Flows and Financial Crises

This paper proposes a macroeconomic model with financial intermediaries (banks), in which banks face occasionally binding leverage constraints and may endogenously affect the strength of their balance sheets by issuing new equity. The model can account for occasional financial crises as a result of the nonlinearity induced by the constraint. Banks’ precautionary equity issuance makes financial ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002